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Joined: Sep 2005
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How soon do you think it will be before fiber cable will be pulled to every data jack and not copper ? My guess is 3 years .
Let It Be , I live in a Yellow Submarine . SCCE
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Moderator-Avaya-Lucent, Antique Tele
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Try 10 years AGO was the first time we pulled homerun fiber for data, and Cat-5 (no "e" at the time) on a patch panel for voice. Customer made their fortune on athletic shoe "retreading" kit, and had lots of loot to burn on their new palace. Went the same way as the dot-coms.
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Joined: Sep 2005
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We all went through the dot-com pain . That's history . So what "retreading" happened 10 years ago , may not be referent to what is common practice in the near future . In 1998 how many of us did cat 5 certifications ?
Let It Be , I live in a Yellow Submarine . SCCE
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Joined: Jun 2005
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Now that 10Gbit over copper is here (almost), I think it will be longer then 3 years. Exactly how long? I'm not sure.
What will the next target be? 100Gbit? Copper won't be going there without a lot of engineering. Fiber will rule, but how many will actually need that kind of bandwidth initially?
The typical desk jockey is hanging off a 100Mb cat5/5e link. Most probably use only a fraction of that, given relatively narrow internet pipes. Moving them to 1Gig has been slow-going.
I think we'll first need to see widespread adoption of FTTX technology, which will influence internal cabling decisions.
-Steve
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Joined: Jul 2003
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To every Jack? My guess is 5 to 8 years maybe 10. Having said that. Verizon is putting fiber to my door as I type.
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We have a company in Maine that started it about 2 years ago. Fiber to each location they offer phone, internet and HDTV
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Joined: Oct 2004
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had fun pulling fiber thru cubicles at Mastercard facility. that was several years ago, they still are not using it.
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Joined: Feb 2006
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Yeah, it's going to be awhile. More expensive to terminate, and way more expensive for switching gear and NICs. In some cases I could see pulling the fiber in with copper and terminating the fiber later as needed. But even there, by the time you get around to needing the fiber, that technology may have changed as well.
I'd say 10 years.
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Having said that; in 98 we wired a very high tech company with lots of cash, we pulled 3 data and 2 fibers to every location, per their request. Recently I was talking with the director of the company and asked them if they had been using the fiber and he just laughed and said no.
Fiber is just not cost effective to the desktop, especially with gigabit copper now. Applications dictate the need for increased bandwidth. But the irony to that is now the use of thin clients such as term server and Citrix. These are specifically designed for bandwidth sucking apps, which allow for the application and data processing to remain on the server end and simply send screen shots, and key strokes to and from the server. Essentially creating less and less data over the network.
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